investiledysfunction

As anyone who reads this blog knows, I’m addicted to CNBC in the morning.  It’s an unhealthy habit, but I find the talking heads on CNBC hilarious because of their extreme short-term’ism.  If you watched earlier this week, you got to see tons of folks predicting the bottom based on one day’s good performance.  Where were all these smart people to tell us about the bloody October we were going to have?  Oh wait, these guys are mostly Monday morning quarterbacks.  In any case, it’s a channel for those with A.D.D.  Insights are infrequent but for me, entertainment value is high esp with folks like Joe Kernan and the morning crew who seem to be in on the joke.

In any case, I was watching Donny Deutsch tonite (The Big Idea is one of the best shows on TV so check it out)  and he had Jim Cramer on.  Cramer is a massive personality and for me personally, his picks have done well for me.  On The Big Idea, he was talking about the economy, the market, etc, and it was pessimism to another level.

Per Cramer, those with entrepreneurial ambitions should put them on hold for the next few years.  While a good stock picker, I think this type of generic device is wrong.  What I think Cramer should have said is “Those with entrepreneurial ambitions that are half- or partially-baked should put them on hold forever.”

Per my earlier post on the downturn resulting in smarter startups, having a good idea that solves a real problem will always be in demand.  And being contrarian, e.g., when there is blood in the water, can be exactly the right time to start a business as talent may be cheaper, there may be cheap office space and computers available and you may be competing against a lot less fluff to get attention from partners, the press, etc.

As Warren Buffet says, “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.”