investiledysfunction

I had dinner with a good friend who works at a hedge fund this past week, and after we discussed the markets and our views on where things are going (sorry we didn’t come up with an answer), he made an interesting comment that struck me.  He felt that this downturn may be a good thing for the US economy for the long-term.  His logic was pretty simple.

• A lot of very smart people over the last many many years moved into careers in finance because it was lucrative and was seen as a path to quick riches.
• Back in the day, there was a similar belief about becoming a doctor for instance but it was not a “quick path” but one that existed for the best and brightest after many years of hard work.
• With this being a potentially protracted downturn, some of the current and many more from the next generation of smart people may go back to pursuing careers which in his words “are not just about trading paper”.  This means more innovation, entrepreneurship, etc from smart people trying to solve real problems.

I found this perspective quite interesting coming from someone in the hedge fund world - especially someone who is successful at it.  I also agree with him. Finance companies (banks, hedge funds, etc) have had a voracious appetite for PhDs and smart people in general who’ve helped them build complex derivatives and the like.  This downturn/recession may mean less of these people are inclined to go into or stay in finance and if this happens, they may look elsewhere, e.g., in science and math disciplines either with employers or in research organizations (mainly universities).  This is a good thing as it can lead to ideas and innovations that drive the next great wave.

I’ve seen this migration to finance firsthand.  I graduated from the Jerome Fisher Program in Management & Technology (M&T) at the University of Pennsylvania which is a dual degree program between Wharton and Penn’s Engineering school.  As I’ve met alumni from the program over the years, it has become apparent that fewer and fewer of us went down the engineering route in our careers (I’m guilty on this count).  The early graduates of the program were more likely to have worked in engineering fields for at least some time while with the more recent grads, most have sought to go down the business (especially finance) with a belief that their training from engineering would always be valuable.

It’s obvious that these types of attitudinal and structural shifts don’t happen overnight, but if some small segment of the smart people who previously pursued careers in the world of finance move towards entrepreneurship and innovation, this is a good thing for us in America as well as globally.

This doesn’t mean the finance types go away nor should they.  Someone will have to extend credit and funding to these entrepreneurs, right?